Taiwan Election Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$53k Vol.
$34k Liq.
19
Ends in 8 months
$53k Vol.$34k Liq.19Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)
L
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
$10k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$10k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
L
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
$24k Vol.
$8k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$8k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$88k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$88k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
A
Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$11k Vol.
$61k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 days
$11k Vol.$61k Liq.1Ends in 7 days
94%
BJP
C
Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
$8k Vol.
$25k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$8k Vol.$25k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
55%
DISY
S
Politics · World
Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner
$1.6m Vol.
$128k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
$1.6m Vol.$128k Liq.12Ends in about 1 month
95%
Scottish National Party
W
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$974k Vol.
$74k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$974k Vol.$74k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
$1k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
$1k Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in about 1 year
14%
Yes
W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
$135k Vol.
$195k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
$135k Vol.$195k Liq.Ends in 6 months
6%
Yes
H
Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote
$36k Vol.
$63k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 days
$36k Vol.$63k Liq.1Ends in 10 days
28%
54%+
W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
$2.1m Vol.
$208k Liq.
🔥$120k today
Ends in 3 months
$2.1m Vol.🔥$120k today$208k Liq.Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
W
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
$167k Vol.
$201k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$167k Vol.$201k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
21%
Yes
W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$359k today$536k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$99k Vol.
$29k Liq.
57
Ended
$99k Vol.$29k Liq.57Ended
40%
59-60%
H
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote
$36k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$36k Vol.$53k Liq.Ends in 10 days
28%
40-44%
T
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
40%
December 31
H
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
$5k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$5k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 10 days
26%
Yes
H
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?
$180k Vol.
$90k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 days
$180k Vol.$90k Liq.1Ends in 10 days
82%
60+
T
44%
55-60%