Taiwan Predictions & Odds· 128 markets

W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

14%

Yes

$51k Vol.
$107k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

14%

Yes

$1.5m Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

5%

Yes

$993k Vol.
$83k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

10%

Yes

$24k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

87%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$54k Vol.
$36k Liq.
19
Ends in 8 months
L
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

2%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

39%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?

98%

Yes

$1.0m Vol.
$23k Liq.
110
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

10%

Yes

$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

3%

Yes

$2.5m Vol.
$277k Liq.
🔥$303k today
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

7%

Yes

$251k Vol.
$118k Liq.
🔥$115k today
Ends in 6 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

21%

Yes

$204k Vol.
$219k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

33%

Yes

$450k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

10%

Yes

$103k Vol.
$16k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

11%

Yes

$134k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?

6%

Yes

$36k Vol.
$5k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

15%

Yes

$2.5m Vol.
$13k Liq.
72
Ends in 9 months
W
What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

87%

Drake releases Iceman

$19.9m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$328k today
796
Ends in 4 months
W
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

92%

China

$200k Vol.
$100k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

27%

India

$245k Vol.
$221k Liq.
Ends in 9 months