Terrorism Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
M
39%
No prison time
W
29%
Isfahan nuclear facility
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$23k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$23k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
39%
April 30
M
45%
Yes
W
Politics · World
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
$81k Vol.
$2k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$2k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
39%
Yes
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$596k Vol.
$35k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$596k Vol.$35k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
15%
↑ $4
I
50%
Yes
P
Pakistan military action against Kabul by...?
$22k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$22k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 15 days
47%
April 15
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
$717k Vol.
$98k Liq.
35
Ends in 9 months
$717k Vol.$98k Liq.35Ends in 9 months
34%
7
A
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ended
$4k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ended
1%
Yes
I
35%
December 31, 2026
Z
Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$180 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$180 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 10 days
35%
60-79
T
Culture · Politics
Taliban blackmail of D.C. shooter confirmed by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ended
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ended
1%
Yes
K
Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$184 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$184 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 10 days
30%
5-9
N
30%
Yes
P
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?
$48k Vol.
$6k Liq.
10
Ends in 15 days
$48k Vol.$6k Liq.10Ends in 15 days
66%
April 15
H
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$24k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$24k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in 30 days
89%
April 1