Trade War Predictions & Odds· 239 markets
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
$415k Vol.
$10k Liq.
25
Ends in about 9 hours
$415k Vol.$10k Liq.25Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
$140k Vol.
$149k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$149k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
India
34%
800–900B
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$81k Vol.
$20k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$20k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
40%
June 30
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$328k Vol.
$16k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$328k Vol.$16k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$26k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Will Trump visit China by...?
$18.2m Vol.
$5.3m Liq.
🔥$3.2m today
423
Ends in about 1 month
$18.2m Vol.🔥$3.2m today$5.3m Liq.423Ends in about 1 month
83%
June 30
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$44k Liq.
28
Ends in about 9 hours
$1.2m Vol.$44k Liq.28Ends in about 9 hours
98%
5–15%
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$63k Vol.
$14k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$63k Vol.$14k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
45%
Yes
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
$62k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in about 9 hours
$62k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in about 9 hours
98%
Yes
Silver (SI) above ___ end of June?
$208k Vol.
$57k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$208k Vol.$57k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
63%
$65
US x China Military clash before 2027?
$53k Vol.
$22k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$53k Vol.$22k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
25%
Yes
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
$30k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$9k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$82k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
$515k Vol.
$57k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$515k Vol.$57k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
$39k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$39k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
45%
Yes