Ukraine Peace Deal Predictions & Odds· 121 markets

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

$7.0m Vol.
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No

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?

No

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?

$245k Vol.
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No

EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by…?

EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by…?

$532k Vol.
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79
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December 19

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

$27.0m Vol.
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No

Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

$3.1m Vol.
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276
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No

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?

$4.9m Vol.
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233
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No

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday?

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday?

$361k Vol.
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43
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No

Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?

Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?

$1.5m Vol.
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105
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Yes

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?

$1.6m Vol.
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No

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

No

Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?

Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?

$505k Vol.
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40
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No

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?

$593k Vol.
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No

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal today?

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal today?

$92k Vol.
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No

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

$2.6m Vol.
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No

Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition

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Yes

What will Trump say at Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?

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