Vote Counting Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$18k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$18k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 4 months
68%
Yes
Will Trump nationalize elections?
$13k Vol.
$8k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$13k Vol.$8k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$7k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$7k Vol.$61k Liq.Ends in 12 days
27%
Keiko Fujimori <5%
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$1.2m Vol.
$134k Liq.
14
Ends in 12 days
$1.2m Vol.$134k Liq.14Ends in 12 days
40%
Tisza 9%+
98%
Stratton 6–9%
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$39k Vol.
$69k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$39k Vol.$69k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
35%
Paxton 9%+
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k Vol.
$66k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$206k Vol.$66k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
40%
Lula da Silva <5%
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory
$18k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$18k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 19 days
45%
PB 5-10%
Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote
$31k Vol.
$49k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$31k Vol.$49k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
31%
50-54%
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote
$31k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$31k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 12 days
36%
40-44%
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
$17k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$28k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$28k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner
$164k Vol.
$40k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$164k Vol.$40k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
74%
Tisza
36%
JP
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election
$84k Vol.
$44k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$84k Vol.$44k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
47%
71–74%
Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
$19k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 21 hours
83%
60-79