Vote Counting Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

S
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

$19k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

69%

Yes

W
Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

$13k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

21%

Yes

P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$7k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 12 days

32%

Keiko Fujimori <5%

H
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$1.2m Vol.
$172k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days

40%

Tisza 9%+

I
Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

$18k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ended

98%

Stratton 6–9%

T
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

$40k Vol.
$96k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months

34%

Paxton 9%+

B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$206k Vol.
$68k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months

39%

Lula da Silva <5%

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$30k Vol.
$21k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days

39%

April 30

B
Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

$19k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 19 days

45%

PB 5-10%

H
Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote

Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote

$34k Vol.
$64k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days

28%

54%+

H
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote

Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote

$31k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 12 days

35%

40-44%

W
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

$17k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$28k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

46%

Other

2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$18k Vol.
$32k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months

87%

Kuomintang (KMT)

T
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

$4k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

8%

Yes

Z
Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$180 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

35%

60-79

P
Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

$14k Vol.
$46k Liq.
3
Ends in 12 days

33%

JP

H
Hungary Parliamentary Election:  Popular Vote Winner

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner

$169k Vol.
$46k Liq.
2
Ends in 12 days

74%

Tisza

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months

82%

Yes

T
Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election

Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election

$85k Vol.
$59k Liq.
2
Ends in 12 days

48%

71–74%