World Presidency Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

W
Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by...?

$19.3m Vol.
$388k Liq.
🔥$231k today
436
Ends in 28 days

83%

June 30

W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

$5.2m Vol.
$207k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

7%

December 31

W
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

$4.6m Vol.
$213k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months

87%

No meeting by June 30

N
NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

$1.4m Vol.
$103k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months

14%

December 31

U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

$2.3m Vol.
$35k Liq.
122
Ends in 9 months

11%

December 31, 2026

W
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

$14.1m Vol.
$28k Liq.
1,182
Ended

14%

Yes

U
US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

$584k Vol.
$29k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months

10%

December 31, 2026

U
US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

$1.3m Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

13%

June 30

I
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

$2.7m Vol.
$5k Liq.
347
Ended

18%

June 30

W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

$1.4m Vol.
$335k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months

52%

Democratic Party

U
Ukraine election held by...?

Ukraine election held by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$22k Liq.
48
Ended

21%

December 31, 2026

A
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?

Politics · World

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

26%

Yes

G
Galway-West By-Election Winner?

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

$20k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 12 months

38%

Noel Thomas

C
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

Sports · Soccer

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

$191k Vol.
$832 Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months

24%

Yes

B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

$2.7m Vol.
$170k Liq.
12
Ends in 6 months

60%

Flávio Bolsonaro

M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

$1.9m Vol.
$41k Liq.
89
Ends in 3 months

3%

Yes

B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

$166k Vol.
$118k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months

39%

Renan Santos

Z
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

$2.0m Vol.
$94k Liq.
89
Ends in 9 months

20%

Yes

B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$207k Vol.
$74k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months

40%

Lula da Silva <5%

M
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes