538 预测与赔率· 100 个市场
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1.6m 交易量
$767k 流动性
64
超过 2 年后结束
$1.6m 交易量$767k 流动性64超过 2 年后结束
59%
Democratic
88%
April 30
4%
Yes
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$476.3m 交易量
$28.5m 流动性
🔥$5.1m 今日
803
超过 2 年后结束
$476.3m 交易量🔥$5.1m 今日$28.5m 流动性803超过 2 年后结束
17%
JD Vance
79%
60-79
39%
April 30
17%
Yes
82%
Up
41%
↓ 39000
68%
Not revealed in 2026
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m 交易量
$360k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束
$3.4m 交易量$360k 流动性19 个月后结束
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$105k 交易量
$12k 流动性
27
30 天后结束
$105k 交易量$12k 流动性2730 天后结束
17%
April 30
75%
Pause–Pause–Pause
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k 交易量
$12k 流动性
11
3 个月后结束
$100k 交易量$12k 流动性113 个月后结束
12%
Yes
90%
Democratic Party
24%
Isfahan nuclear facility