538 Predictions & Odds· 100 markets
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1.6m Vol.
$768k Liq.
64
Ends in over 2 years
$1.6m Vol.$768k Liq.64Ends in over 2 years
59%
Democratic
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 4 days
42%
60-79
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$635 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$635 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
48%
60-79
88%
April 30
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$476.2m Vol.
$28.4m Liq.
🔥$5.2m today
803
Ends in over 2 years
$476.2m Vol.🔥$5.2m today$28.4m Liq.803Ends in over 2 years
17%
JD Vance
Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$22k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$22k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
79%
60-79
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$7k Liq.Ended
17%
Yes
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
68%
Not revealed in 2026
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$352k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$352k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Ted Cruz # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$5k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 8 days
41%
100-119
75%
Pause–Pause–Pause
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$11k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
90%
Democratic Party
24%
Isfahan nuclear facility
49%
June 30
8%
Yes
What price will Ethena hit in March?
$100k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$100k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 1 day
3%
↓ 0.08