538 Predictions & Odds· 100 markets
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1.6m Vol.
$829k Liq.
64
Ends in over 2 years
$1.6m Vol.$829k Liq.64Ends in over 2 years
59%
Democratic
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 4 days
40%
60-79
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$578 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$578 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
47%
60-79
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?
$642k Vol.
$27k Liq.
320
Ends in about 7 hours
$642k Vol.$27k Liq.320Ends in about 7 hours
90%
April 30
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$474.6m Vol.
$29.8m Liq.
🔥$6.1m today
805
Ends in over 2 years
$474.6m Vol.🔥$6.1m today$29.8m Liq.805Ends in over 2 years
18%
JD Vance
Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
$19k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 23 hours
90%
60-79
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$22k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$22k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
28%
Yes
What will Bitcoin outperform in March?
$97k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$97k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
99%
Gold
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$17k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$17k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$466k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$466k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Ted Cruz # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$5k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 8 days
40%
100-119
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$101k Vol.
$14k Liq.
27
Ends in about 1 month
$101k Vol.$14k Liq.27Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 30
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$15k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$15k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
90%
Democratic Party
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
49%
June 30
8%
Yes
What price will Ethena hit in March?
$96k Vol.
$176k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$96k Vol.$176k Liq.Ends in 1 day
13%
↓ 0.08