Claude 5 预测与赔率· 112 个市场

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$2.9m 交易量
$67k 流动性
162
大约 1 个月后结束

75%

June 30, 2026

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$188k 交易量
$13k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束

94%

35%+

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$56k 交易量
$908 流动性
11
3 个月后结束

56%

Yes

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

$1.1m 交易量
$169k 流动性
20
大约 9 小时后结束

99%

OpenAI

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$51k 交易量
$3k 流动性
将近 2 年后结束

68%

Anthropic

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$93k 交易量
$19k 流动性
将近 2 年后结束

77%

600B+

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

$9k 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束

14%

Yes

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

$11k 交易量
$5k 流动性
9 个月后结束

89%

Yes

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$42k 交易量
$13k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束

70%

June 30

Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$63k 交易量
$13k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

50%

June 30

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

$9k 交易量
$12k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

42%

9-11

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

$9k 交易量
$5k 流动性
22
大约 9 小时后结束

19%

Yes

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B

$0 交易量
$194 流动性
4 天后结束

72%

Nemiga

Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?

counter strike 2 · Sports

Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?

$43k 交易量
$152 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束

45%

Yes

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$296k 交易量
$13k 流动性
4

93%

June 30

WTT - Men's Singles: Dimitrij Ovtcharov vs Anders Lind

Sports · Games

WTT - Men's Singles: Dimitrij Ovtcharov vs Anders Lind

$26 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Lind

LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

$6 交易量
$2k 流动性
4 天后结束

13%

Apex Mission Impossible

Counter-Strike: Acend vs ReThink (BO3) - De_Airport Masters Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Acend vs ReThink (BO3) - De_Airport Masters Playoffs

$564 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Acend

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy (BO5) - FERJEE In House Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy (BO5) - FERJEE In House Playoffs

$10k 交易量
$31k 流动性
大约 11 小时后结束

32%

9z

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m 交易量
$10k 流动性
107
3 个月后结束

46%

Yes