Sam Altman 预测与赔率· 121 个市场

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.4m 交易量
$21k 流动性
2
将近 2 年后结束

67%

$800B

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$1.6m 交易量
$256k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

90%

SpaceX

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$51k 交易量
$3k 流动性
将近 2 年后结束

68%

Anthropic

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$296k 交易量
$13k 流动性
4

93%

June 30

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k 交易量
$8k 流动性
31
已结束

44%

December 31, 2026

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$358k 交易量
$34k 流动性
40
已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$102k 交易量
$5k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束

46%

Head-mounted display

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

$242k 交易量
$8k 流动性
7
9 个月后结束

24%

Yes

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

$57k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
将近 2 年后结束

96%

SpaceX

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

$7k 交易量
$3k 流动性
5
将近 2 年后结束

79%

SpaceX

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

$0 交易量
$3k 流动性
9 个月后结束

23%

Yes

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

$91k 交易量
$12k 流动性
15
9 个月后结束

34%

Yes

Sam Altman in jail by...?

Sam Altman in jail by...?

$41k 交易量
$6k 流动性
6
已结束

3%

Yes

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

$0 交易量
$4k 流动性
3 个月后结束

37%

Yes

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

25%

Yes

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

$0 交易量
$9k 流动性
9 个月后结束

11%

Yes

Who will Trump meet with in March?

Who will Trump meet with in March?

$239k 交易量
$127k 流动性
大约 9 小时后结束

4%

Andy Jassy

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

$534k 交易量
$40k 流动性
15
9 个月后结束

41%

Dan Clancy - Twitch

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9
9 个月后结束

22%

Yes

WTT - Women's Singles: Elizabeta Samara vs Mo Zhang

Sports · Games

WTT - Women's Singles: Elizabeta Samara vs Mo Zhang

$0 交易量
$11 流动性
8 天后结束

51%

Samara