Altman 预测与赔率

Tech·llm

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量

$5k 流动性

9

9 个月后结束

22%

Yes

Politics·OpenAI

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

$91k 交易量

$20k 流动性

15

9 个月后结束

35%

Yes

Tech·OpenAI

Sam Altman in jail by...?

$41k 交易量

$6k 流动性

6

已结束

3%

Yes

Tech·Big Tech

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

$0 交易量

$6k 流动性

3 个月后结束

37%

Yes

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量

$6k 流动性

1

3 个月后结束

28%

Yes

Tech·AI

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

$0 交易量

$10k 流动性

9 个月后结束

11%

Yes

Finance·IPOs

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.4m 交易量

$22k 流动性

2

将近 2 年后结束

66%

$800B

Geopolitics·Trump

Who will Trump meet with in March?

$239k 交易量

$131k 流动性

大约 11 小时后结束

5%

Mark Zuckerberg

Economy·Big Tech

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

$534k 交易量

$42k 流动性

15

9 个月后结束

36%

Dan Clancy - Twitch

Tech·Business

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$1.6m 交易量

$259k 流动性

10

9 个月后结束

90%

SpaceX

Finance·OpenAI

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$51k 交易量

$4k 流动性

将近 2 年后结束

68%

Anthropic

Tech·AI

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$296k 交易量

$14k 流动性

4

89%

June 30

Tech·OpenAI

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k 交易量

$8k 流动性

31

已结束

46%

December 31, 2026

Tech·OpenAI

GPT-6 released by…?

$358k 交易量

$35k 流动性

40

已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

Tech·Jony Ive

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$102k 交易量

$5k 流动性

12

9 个月后结束

44%

Head-mounted display

Tech·Business

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

$57k 交易量

$3k 流动性

1

将近 2 年后结束

96%

SpaceX

Tech·Big Tech

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

$242k 交易量

$8k 流动性

7

9 个月后结束

24%

Yes

Elections·Midterms

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

$18k 交易量

$47k 流动性

2 个月后结束

47%

Brad Cohen

Tech·Science

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

$7k 交易量

$3k 流动性

5

将近 2 年后结束

78%

SpaceX

Crypto·sam altman

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

$0 交易量

$3k 流动性

9 个月后结束

23%

Yes

Altman 预测与赔率· 124 个市场

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Sam Altman in jail by...?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Who will Trump meet with in March?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

GPT-6 released by…?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

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