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Chatgpt 预测与赔率· 113 个市场

全部 Business Sam Altman AI Gpt OpenAI Grok Anthropic Culture Llm Google Artificial Intelligence App Store Apple Tech Outage Geopolitics Sam Altman Chatgpt Big Tech Math GPT 5 Gemini 3 Claude

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k 交易量

$3k 流动性

已结束

14%

Yes

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量

$7k 流动性

9

9 个月后结束

22%

Yes

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k 交易量

$447 流动性

1

3 个月后结束

36%

Yes

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k 交易量

$946 流动性

4

3 个月后结束

56%

60%+

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量

$7k 流动性

大约 9 小时后结束

2%

Yes

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Tech·App Store

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$824 交易量

$8k 流动性

15 天后结束

86%

April 15

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量

$3k 流动性

10 天后结束

8%

Yes

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$1k 交易量

$7k 流动性

15 天后结束

83%

April 15

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$358k 交易量

$34k 流动性

40

已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

$15k 交易量

$8k 流动性

大约 9 小时后结束

99%

ChatGPT

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

$5k 交易量

$9k 流动性

大约 9 小时后结束

93%

Claude by Anthropic

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

$0 交易量

$4k 流动性

3

9 个月后结束

10%

Yes

Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?

Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?

$66k 交易量

$30k 流动性

9 个月后结束

61%

↑ 1550

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Geopolitics·Business

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

$70k 交易量

$29k 流动性

3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$12k 交易量

$53k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

82%

Anthropic

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

$1.0m 交易量

$111k 流动性

1

大约 9 小时后结束

99%

Anthropic

Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

$13k 交易量

$68k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

80%

Anthropic

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$801k 交易量

$121k 流动性

🔥$159k 今日

大约 1 个月后结束

84%

Anthropic

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

$2.7m 交易量

$452k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

91%

Anthropic

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k 交易量

$11k 流动性

1

9 个月后结束

26%

Yes