Claude 5 预测与赔率· 151 个市场

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$2.9m 交易量
$68k 流动性
163
大约 1 个月后结束

73%

June 30, 2026

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$188k 交易量
$12k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束

91%

35%+

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$56k 交易量
$1k 流动性
11
3 个月后结束

56%

Yes

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

$1.2m 交易量
$167k 流动性
21
大约 5 小时后结束

99%

OpenAI

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$51k 交易量
$4k 流动性
将近 2 年后结束

68%

Anthropic

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$93k 交易量
$25k 流动性
将近 2 年后结束

77%

600B+

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

$9k 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束

14%

Yes

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

$11k 交易量
$5k 流动性
9 个月后结束

89%

Yes

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$42k 交易量
$13k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束

70%

June 30

Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$63k 交易量
$15k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

49%

June 30

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

$10k 交易量
$14k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

42%

9-11

Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?

counter strike 2 · Sports

Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?

$43k 交易量
$98 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束

45%

Yes

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$296k 交易量
$17k 流动性
4

92%

June 30

Claude 5 released on...?

Claude 5 released on...?

$663k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
已结束

No release by February 28

Will Claude pass Grok by November 15 on the UnifAI Polyarena?

Will Claude pass Grok by November 15 on the UnifAI Polyarena?

$137k 交易量
$0 流动性
8
已结束

No

Which company has the #1 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

$854k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Anthropic

Which company has the #2 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

$184k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Anthropic

Which company has the second best AI model end of February?

Which company has the second best AI model end of February?

$982k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Anthropic

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

$22.5m 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Anthropic

Claude 4 released in May?

Claude 4 released in May?

$46k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
已结束

Yes