Claude 5 预测与赔率· 152 个市场

C
Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$1.9m 交易量
$57k 流动性
162
28 天后结束

56%

June 30, 2026

A
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$190k 交易量
$24k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束

96%

35%+

A
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$56k 交易量
$2k 流动性
11
3 个月后结束

74%

Yes

A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$99k 交易量
$35k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束

55%

No IPO by December 31, 2027

A
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

$12k 交易量
$8k 流动性
9 个月后结束

94%

Yes

A
Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

$9k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

9%

Yes

W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$51k 交易量
$5k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束

57%

Anthropic

C
Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$63k 交易量
$16k 流动性
1
28 天后结束

57%

June 30

C
Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$70k 交易量
$12k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

59%

June 30

W
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

$12k 交易量
$23k 流动性
28 天后结束

46%

9-11

W
Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

$17 交易量
$4k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束

39%

9-11

C
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B

$5k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1 天后结束

72%

Nemiga

W
Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?

counter strike 2 · Sports

Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?

$44k 交易量
$54 流动性
1
28 天后结束

62%

Yes

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$301k 交易量
$23k 流动性
4

93%

June 30

C
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs 5star (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs 5star (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffs

$0 交易量
$682 流动性
大约 10 小时后结束

76%

Chinggis Warriors

W
Will MOUZ make a roster change before the IEM Cologne Major?

Sports · Esports

Will MOUZ make a roster change before the IEM Cologne Major?

$6 交易量
$29 流动性
3 个月后结束

40%

Yes

C
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs FarmVille (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs FarmVille (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs

$0 交易量
$2k 流动性
大约 22 小时后结束

35%

F5 Esports

C
Claude 5 released on...?

Claude 5 released on...?

$663k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
已结束

No release by February 28

W
Will Claude pass Grok by November 15 on the UnifAI Polyarena?

Will Claude pass Grok by November 15 on the UnifAI Polyarena?

$137k 交易量
$0 流动性
8
已结束

No

W
Which company has the #1 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

$854k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Anthropic