Claude 预测与赔率· 122 个市场

Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$63k 交易量
$15k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

50%

June 30

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$40k 交易量
$18k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束

69%

June 30

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

$9k 交易量
$18k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

41%

9-11

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$188k 交易量
$13k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束

94%

35%+

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$56k 交易量
$927 流动性
11
3 个月后结束

56%

Yes

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$44k 交易量
$10k 流动性
3
大约 1 个月后结束

18%

Yes

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$894 交易量
$6k 流动性
16 天后结束

77%

April 15

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$2.9m 交易量
$60k 流动性
162
大约 1 个月后结束

53%

June 30, 2026

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

$1.1m 交易量
$169k 流动性
20
大约 13 小时后结束

99%

OpenAI

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

$15k 交易量
$8k 流动性
大约 13 小时后结束

98%

ChatGPT

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$51k 交易量
$3k 流动性
将近 2 年后结束

68%

Anthropic

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

NHL · Sports

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

$142k 交易量
$615k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

44%

Nikita Kucherov

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

$5k 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 13 小时后结束

93%

Claude by Anthropic

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$93k 交易量
$25k 流动性
将近 2 年后结束

76%

600B+

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

$11k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9 个月后结束

89%

Yes

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

$9k 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束

13%

Yes

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

$314k 交易量
$18k 流动性
111
9 个月后结束

37%

December 31, 2026

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Crypto

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

$7k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

86%

50

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.0m 交易量
$432k 流动性
255
3 个月后结束

44%

>$600M

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m 交易量
$10k 流动性
107
3 个月后结束

47%

Yes