Sam Altman 预测与赔率· 121 个市场

67%
$800B

68%
Anthropic

45%
December 31, 2026

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
$102k 交易量
$5k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束
$102k 交易量$5k 流动性129 个月后结束
46%
Head-mounted display

96%
SpaceX

78%
SpaceX

23%
Yes

34%
Yes

37%
Yes

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
$100k 交易量$5k 流动性13 个月后结束
27%
Yes

5%
Reza Pahlavi

34%
Dan Clancy - Twitch

21%
Yes

Sports · Games
WTT - Women's Singles: Elizabeta Samara vs Mo Zhang
$0 交易量
$12 流动性
8 天后结束
$0 交易量$12 流动性8 天后结束
50%
Samara




