Altman 预测与赔率

Tech·llm

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k 交易量

$5k 流动性

9

9 个月后结束

21%

Yes

Politics·OpenAI

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

$91k 交易量

$20k 流动性

15

9 个月后结束

34%

Yes

Tech·OpenAI

Sam Altman in jail by...?

$41k 交易量

$6k 流动性

6

已结束

3%

Yes

Tech·Big Tech

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

$0 交易量

$4k 流动性

3 个月后结束

37%

Yes

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量

$5k 流动性

1

3 个月后结束

27%

Yes

Tech·AI

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

$0 交易量

$9k 流动性

9 个月后结束

11%

Yes

Geopolitics·Trump

Who will Trump meet with in March?

$239k 交易量

$136k 流动性

大约 13 小时后结束

6%

Reza Pahlavi

Finance·IPOs

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.4m 交易量

$21k 流动性

2

将近 2 年后结束

66%

$800B

Economy·Big Tech

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

$532k 交易量

$41k 流动性

15

9 个月后结束

34%

Dan Clancy - Twitch

Tech·Business

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$1.6m 交易量

$257k 流动性

11

9 个月后结束

90%

SpaceX

Finance·OpenAI

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$51k 交易量

$3k 流动性

将近 2 年后结束

68%

Anthropic

Tech·OpenAI

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k 交易量

$8k 流动性

31

已结束

45%

December 31, 2026

Tech·OpenAI

GPT-6 released by…?

$358k 交易量

$34k 流动性

40

已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

Tech·AI

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$294k 交易量

$12k 流动性

4

85%

June 30

Tech·Jony Ive

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$102k 交易量

$5k 流动性

12

9 个月后结束

45%

Head-mounted display

Elections·Midterms

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

$18k 交易量

$32k 流动性

2 个月后结束

47%

Brad Cohen

Tech·Big Tech

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

$242k 交易量

$8k 流动性

7

9 个月后结束

24%

Yes

Tech·Business

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

$57k 交易量

$3k 流动性

1

将近 2 年后结束

96%

SpaceX

Tech·Science

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

$7k 交易量

$3k 流动性

5

将近 2 年后结束

78%

SpaceX

Crypto·sam altman

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

$0 交易量

$3k 流动性

9 个月后结束

23%

Yes

Altman 预测与赔率· 124 个市场

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Sam Altman in jail by...?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

Who will Trump meet with in March?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

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