Claude 预测与赔率· 122 个市场

C
Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$44k 交易量
$15k 流动性
1
30 天后结束

71%

June 30

C
Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$63k 交易量
$15k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

49%

June 30

W
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

$10k 交易量
$10k 流动性
30 天后结束

36%

9-11

A
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$188k 交易量
$13k 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

91%

35%+

W
Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

$17 交易量
$5k 流动性
2 个月后结束

39%

9-11

A
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$56k 交易量
$1k 流动性
11
3 个月后结束

56%

Yes

W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$45k 交易量
$10k 流动性
3
30 天后结束

16%

Yes

B
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$2k 交易量
$8k 流动性
15 天后结束

88%

April 15

C
Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$2.9m 交易量
$80k 流动性
163
30 天后结束

63%

June 30, 2026

W
Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

$1.2m 交易量
$162k 流动性
21
已结束

99%

OpenAI

#
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

$18k 交易量
$8k 流动性
已结束

98%

ChatGPT

N
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

NHL · Sports

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

$145k 交易量
$536k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

43%

Nikita Kucherov

#
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

$6k 交易量
$2k 流动性
已结束

89%

Claude by Anthropic

A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$93k 交易量
$25k 流动性
1
超过 1 年后结束

78%

600B+

A
Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

$9k 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束

13%

Yes

A
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

$11k 交易量
$5k 流动性
9 个月后结束

90%

Yes

W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$51k 交易量
$4k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束

68%

Anthropic

L
Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

$314k 交易量
$15k 流动性
112
9 个月后结束

37%

December 31, 2026

M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.1m 交易量
$562k 流动性
258
3 个月后结束

44%

>$600M

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m 交易量
$11k 流动性
108
3 个月后结束

46%

Yes