Claude 预测与赔率· 232 个市场

C
Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$76k 交易量
$14k 流动性
1
27 天后结束

54%

June 30

W
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

$15k 交易量
$22k 流动性
27 天后结束

48%

9-11

A
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$192k 交易量
$15k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束

96%

35%+

C
Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$70k 交易量
$13k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

66%

June 30

W
Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

$17 交易量
$4k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束

40%

9-11

A
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$56k 交易量
$2k 流动性
11
3 个月后结束

74%

Yes

B
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$20k 交易量
$6k 流动性
12 天后结束

81%

April 15

W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$47k 交易量
$23k 流动性
3
27 天后结束

14%

Yes

C
Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$1.9m 交易量
$98k 流动性
163
27 天后结束

55%

June 30, 2026

T
Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

$2k 交易量
$66k 流动性
7 天后结束

85%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

B
Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

$925 交易量
$50k 流动性
7 天后结束

88%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

#
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?

$20k 交易量
$20k 流动性
已结束

99%

ChatGPT

N
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

NHL · Sports

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

$196k 交易量
$584k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

46%

Nathan MacKinnon

#
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?

$14k 交易量
$13k 流动性
已结束

99%

Claude by Anthropic

A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$101k 交易量
$30k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束

55%

No IPO by December 31, 2027

A
Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

$9k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

11%

Yes

A
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

$12k 交易量
$8k 流动性
9 个月后结束

94%

Yes

W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$51k 交易量
$5k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束

57%

Anthropic

L
LoL: French Flair vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: French Flair vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

$36 交易量
$559 流动性
5 天后结束

58%

French Flair

L
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

$25k 交易量
$1 流动性
43 分钟后结束