Claudine Gay 预测与赔率· 137 个市场
C
54%
June 30
C
55%
June 30, 2026
W
48%
9-11
A
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$192k 交易量
$15k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
$192k 交易量$15k 流动性33 个月后结束
96%
35%+
W
40%
9-11
A
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k 交易量
$2k 流动性
11
3 个月后结束
$56k 交易量$2k 流动性113 个月后结束
74%
Yes
C
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
$167k 交易量
$39k 流动性
67
9 个月后结束
$167k 交易量$39k 流动性679 个月后结束
11%
December 31, 2026
C
Sports · Soccer
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
$191k 交易量
$891 流动性
5
4 个月后结束
$191k 交易量$891 流动性54 个月后结束
24%
Yes
T
85%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
B
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$20k 交易量
$6k 流动性
12 天后结束
$20k 交易量$6k 流动性12 天后结束
80%
April 15
B
88%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
W
14%
Yes
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
$1.9m 交易量
$247k 流动性
6
大约 2 个月后结束
$1.9m 交易量$247k 流动性6大约 2 个月后结束
89%
Iván Cepeda Castro
C
50%
Candidate M
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m 交易量
$362k 流动性
9 个月后结束
$3.5m 交易量$362k 流动性9 个月后结束
63%
Orbán - Hungary PM
N
48%
Nathan MacKinnon
#
99%
ChatGPT
#
99%
Claude by Anthropic
A
55%
No IPO by December 31, 2027