Claudine Gay Predictions & Odds· 134 markets
69%
June 30, 2026
71%
June 30
49%
June 30
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
$10k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$10k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 30 days
36%
9-11
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$188k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$188k Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
91%
35%+
Will Claude go down on __ days in May?
$17 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$17 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 2 months
39%
9-11
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$1k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes
Sports · Soccer
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
$190k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 4 months
$190k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 4 months
14%
Yes
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
$166k Vol.
$32k Liq.
68
Ends in 9 months
$166k Vol.$32k Liq.68Ends in 9 months
16%
December 31, 2026
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 30 days
$45k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in 30 days
17%
Yes
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$1k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 15 days
81%
April 15
Colombia Presidential Election
$8.9m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$161k today
359
Ends in 3 months
$8.9m Vol.🔥$161k today$1.1m Liq.359Ends in 3 months
50%
Candidate M
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
$1.8m Vol.
$221k Liq.
🔥$60k today
6
Ends in 2 months
$1.8m Vol.🔥$60k today$221k Liq.6Ends in 2 months
77%
Iván Cepeda Castro
Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$185k Liq.
21
Ended
$1.2m Vol.$185k Liq.21Ended
100%
OpenAI
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$390k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$390k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
98%
ChatGPT
NHL · Sports
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner
$143k Vol.
$551k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$143k Vol.$551k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
47%
Nikita Kucherov
95%
Claude by Anthropic
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$93k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$93k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
78%
600B+
13%
Yes