Hegseth Predictions & Odds· 119 markets

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

$46k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

8%

Yes

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

$6k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

27%

Yes

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$43k Vol.
$17k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month

19%

Yes

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

$282k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours

0%

Yes

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$492.2m Vol.
$28.8m Liq.
🔥$5.6m today
322
Ends in over 2 years

49%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$471.7m Vol.
$30.4m Liq.
🔥$4.5m today
796
Ends in over 2 years

17%

JD Vance

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

$2.5m Vol.
$283k Liq.
🔥$406k today
Ends in 9 months

57%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$78.5m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$240k today
211
Ends in 9 months

65%

Delcy Rodríguez

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

$204k Vol.
$226k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

9%

Pete Hegseth

Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?

Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?

$27k Vol.
$18k Liq.
15

49%

Richard Grenell

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

$403k Vol.
$108k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

54%

Kristi Noem

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin

Sports · Games

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin

$96 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 12 days

45%

1. FC Union Berlin

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846

Sports · Games

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846

$1k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

63%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Sao Leopoldo: Gustavo Heide vs Pedro Boscardin Dias

Tennis · Sports

Sao Leopoldo: Gustavo Heide vs Pedro Boscardin Dias

$28 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

54%

Gustavo Heide

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.0m Vol.
$434k Liq.
255
Ends in 3 months

43%

>$600M

Rainbow Six Siege: Shifters vs Giggioletti (BO1) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Group A

Esports · Rainbow Six Siege

Rainbow Six Siege: Shifters vs Giggioletti (BO1) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Group A

$131 Vol.
$228 Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours

76%

Shifters

Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Ursa (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Ursa (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group A

$0 Vol.
$556 Liq.
Ends in 2 days

51%

megoshort

StarCraft II: Harstem vs Zoun (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group D

Esports · Starcraft 2

StarCraft II: Harstem vs Zoun (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group D

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Zoun

Ventforet Kōfu vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo

Sports · Japan J2 League

Ventforet Kōfu vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo

$0 Vol.
$150 Liq.
Ends in 12 days

53%

Ventforet Kōfu

Fagiano Okayama vs. Vissel Kōbe

Sports · Japan J League

Fagiano Okayama vs. Vissel Kōbe

$0 Vol.
$177 Liq.
Ends in 6 days

48%

Vissel Kōbe