Claudine Gay Predictions & Odds· 131 markets
Claude 5 released by…?
$2.9m Vol.
$70k Liq.
162
Ends in about 1 month
$2.9m Vol.$70k Liq.162Ends in about 1 month
67%
June 30, 2026
50%
June 30
Claude Mythos released by…?
$40k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$40k Vol.$19k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
69%
June 30
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
$9k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
41%
9-11
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$188k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$188k Vol.$14k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
94%
35%+
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$1k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes
Sports · Soccer
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
$190k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 4 months
$190k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 4 months
14%
Yes
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
$166k Vol.
$39k Liq.
67
Ends in 9 months
$166k Vol.$39k Liq.67Ends in 9 months
16%
December 31, 2026
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$1k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 16 days
77%
April 15
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$44k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$44k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
18%
Yes
Colombia Presidential Election
$8.8m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$143k today
353
Ends in 3 months
$8.8m Vol.🔥$143k today$1.5m Liq.353Ends in 3 months
50%
Candidate M
Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
$1.1m Vol.
$170k Liq.
20
Ends in about 12 hours
$1.1m Vol.$170k Liq.20Ends in about 12 hours
99%
OpenAI
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$488k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$488k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
$1.8m Vol.
$297k Liq.
6
Ends in 2 months
$1.8m Vol.$297k Liq.6Ends in 2 months
74%
Iván Cepeda Castro
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$15k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
99%
ChatGPT
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$51k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
68%
Anthropic
NHL · Sports
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner
$142k Vol.
$652k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$142k Vol.$652k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
44%
Nikita Kucherov
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
93%
Claude by Anthropic
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$93k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$93k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
76%
600B+
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
$11k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
89%
Yes