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Clima 预测与赔率· 327 个市场

全部SpaceXScienceWeatherClimateBusinessFinanceElon MuskSam AltmanNasaAINatural DisastersOpenAIPandemicsCultureIPOsTeslaGlobal TempSpaceTechEarthquakeEconomyMeaslesWorldNatural DisasterBig TechAstroidIPOClimaClimate & ScienceEarthquakesM&AWeather & Science
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Climate & Science·Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$38k 交易量
$20k 流动性
9
12 个月后结束

11%

Yes

W
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Tech·Big Tech

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$4.2m 交易量
$151k 流动性
176
超过 1 年后结束

48%

$X

S
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Tech·Big Tech

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$979k 交易量
$105k 流动性
18
超过 1 年后结束

94%

>$1T

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Culture·Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m 交易量
$77k 流动性
23
3 个月后结束

86%

8+

L
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Tech·IPOs

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

$1.3m 交易量
$75k 流动性
22
超过 1 年后结束

48%

Morgan Stanley

S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

Tech·Big Tech

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

$2.9m 交易量
$214k 流动性
44
超过 1 年后结束

96%

1T+

W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Culture·Science

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$2.4m 交易量
$159k 流动性
17
9 个月后结束

46%

2

S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

Tech·IPO

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

$667k 交易量
$98k 流动性
8
超过 1 年后结束

49%

2.0T+

M
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Climate & Science·Science

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$228k 交易量
$15k 流动性
7 天后结束

64%

1.25–1.29ºC

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Climate & Science·Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.1m 交易量
$36k 流动性
9 个月后结束

32%

14–16

H
Human moon landing in 2026?

Tech·Science

Human moon landing in 2026?

$1.9m 交易量
$39k 流动性
28
9 个月后结束

4%

Yes

H
How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

Climate & Science·Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

$185k 交易量
$19k 流动性
7 天后结束

99%

150+

9
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Climate & Science·Weather

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$176k 交易量
$10k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

11%

Yes

M
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Climate & Science·Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.5m 交易量
$56k 流动性
9 个月后结束

98%

↑2k

T
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Tech·Business

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

$63k 交易量
$30k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束

7%

Yes

H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

Climate & Science·Earthquakes

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$677k 交易量
$16k 流动性
9
12 个月后结束

45%

1

N
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

World·Pandemics

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

$231k 交易量
$5k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

18%

Yes

L
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Tech·Business

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$1.6m 交易量
$257k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

90%

SpaceX

5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Climate & Science·astroid

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$277k 交易量
$5k 流动性
9 个月后结束

42%

Yes

2
2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Climate & Science·Science

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$280k 交易量
$21k 流动性
7 天后结束

99%

4th or lower