Natural Disaster 预测与赔率· 178 个市场

N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$189k 交易量
$14k 流动性
7
9 个月后结束

30%

Yes

5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k 交易量
$4k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

43%

Yes

M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$139k 交易量
$13k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

19%

Yes

M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$38k 交易量
$19k 流动性
8
12 个月后结束

12%

Yes

M
Megaquake by March 31?

earthquake · Natural Disaster

Megaquake by March 31?

$131k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1
已结束

1%

Yes

N
Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Natural Disaster · Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

$327k 交易量
$2k 流动性
1
2 个月后结束

25%

Yes

W
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

$11k 交易量
$3k 流动性
2 个月后结束

3%

Yes

M
Megaquake by June 30?

Weather · earthquake

Megaquake by June 30?

$23k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3 个月后结束

21%

Yes

W
Will a hurricane form by May 31?

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

$36k 交易量
$4k 流动性
4
2 个月后结束

7%

Yes

H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$668k 交易量
$16k 流动性
10
12 个月后结束

43%

1

A
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

$77k 交易量
$29k 流动性
🔥$53k 今日
2 个月后结束

100%

April 30

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m 交易量
$86k 流动性
23
3 个月后结束

67%

8+

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.1m 交易量
$24k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

28%

14–16

1
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$530k 交易量
$19k 流动性
27
9 个月后结束

6%

Yes

W
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$314k 交易量
$5k 流动性
7
9 个月后结束

31%

Yes

9
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$172k 交易量
$8k 流动性
7
9 个月后结束

12%

Yes

H
How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

$158k 交易量
$19k 流动性
1
10 天后结束

100%

150+

H
How many Tornadoes in the US in April?

Natural Disasters · Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in April?

$647 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

41%

290–319

H
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

$26k 交易量
$12k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

41%

1250+

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$380k 交易量
$14k 流动性
70

9%

Isfahan nuclear facility