Climate Weather 预测与赔率· 260 个市场

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

$36k 交易量
$5k 流动性
4
2 个月后结束

6%

Yes

Precipitation in NYC in March?

Precipitation in NYC in March?

$175k 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 7 小时后结束

79%

3-4"

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

$322k 交易量
$13k 流动性
大约 7 小时后结束

93%

5-6"

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.5m 交易量
$39k 流动性
9 个月后结束

98%

↑2k

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.1m 交易量
$39k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

28%

14–16

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m 交易量
$127k 流动性
22
3 个月后结束

68%

8+

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

$387k 交易量
$21k 流动性
大约 7 小时后结束

0%

1600

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$171k 交易量
$8k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

12%

Yes

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$666k 交易量
$22k 流动性
9
大约 1 年后结束

43%

1

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$530k 交易量
$26k 流动性
26
9 个月后结束

6%

Yes

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$116k 交易量
$13k 流动性
9 个月后结束

13%

Yes

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

$112k 交易量
$8k 流动性
5
10 个月后结束

73%

Yes

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$208k 交易量
$18k 流动性
10 天后结束

48%

1.25–1.29ºC

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$2.4m 交易量
$130k 流动性
20
9 个月后结束

46%

2

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

$158k 交易量
$22k 流动性
10 天后结束

100%

150+

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$310k 交易量
$7k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

39%

Yes

Precipitation in Seoul in March?

Precipitation in Seoul in March?

$33k 交易量
$2k 流动性
大约 7 小时后结束

43%

35-40mm

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Natural Disaster · Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

$327k 交易量
$3k 流动性
2 个月后结束

41%

Yes

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$271k 交易量
$17k 流动性
10 天后结束

98%

4th or lower

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

$11k 交易量
$3k 流动性
2 个月后结束

7%

Yes