Climate 预测与赔率· 147 个市场

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$309k 交易量
$9k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

39%

Yes

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Natural Disaster · Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

$327k 交易量
$2k 流动性
2 个月后结束

39%

Yes

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

$11k 交易量
$3k 流动性
2 个月后结束

7%

Yes

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

Weather · climate

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

$34k 交易量
$17k 流动性
2
1 天后结束

96%

14.2-14.4m sq km

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$189k 交易量
$17k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

30%

Yes

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$38k 交易量
$19k 流动性
8
大约 1 年后结束

12%

Yes

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Weather · climate

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

$28k 交易量
$5k 流动性
6
6 个月后结束

39%

<4m sq km

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$3.9m 交易量
$189k 流动性
🔥$86k 今日
170
将近 2 年后结束

63%

Other

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.5m 交易量
$33k 流动性
9 个月后结束

98%

↑2k

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

$2.9m 交易量
$218k 流动性
42
将近 2 年后结束

94%

1T+

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.1m 交易量
$33k 流动性
9 个月后结束

28%

11–13

NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$699k 交易量
$26k 流动性
94
大约 9 小时后结束

83%

April 30

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

$1.2m 交易量
$91k 流动性
16
将近 2 年后结束

36%

Goldman Sachs

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m 交易量
$88k 流动性
22
3 个月后结束

67%

8+

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

$387k 交易量
$20k 流动性
大约 9 小时后结束

1%

1600

New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

$199k 交易量
$25k 流动性
9 个月后结束

12%

Yes

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$666k 交易量
$20k 流动性
9
大约 1 年后结束

43%

1

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

$322k 交易量
$13k 流动性
大约 9 小时后结束

95%

5-6"

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$348k 交易量
$22k 流动性
9 个月后结束

35%

<5

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

$651k 交易量
$95k 流动性
8
将近 2 年后结束

46%

2.0T+