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Debt Ceiling 预测与赔率· 111 个市场

全部PoliticsIranTrumpFedBidenElon MuskOilUS GovernmentCongressFundingNuclearFed RatesGeopoliticsVanceEconomyFOMCTrump PresidencyHouseParlaysGov ShutdownJerome PowellDebt CeilingEconomic PolicyWorldBig Beautiful BillTrump Vs ElonMilitary StrikesIran CeasefireU.S. X IranIsrael X Iran
P
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Politics · Economy

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

$9k 交易量
$21k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

93%

$40 trillion

U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

Politics · Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

$15k 交易量
$24k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

5%

Yes

N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Geopolitics·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$441k 交易量
$29k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

30%

Yes

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k 交易量
$115k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Geopolitics·Trump

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$30k 交易量
$17k 流动性
4
30 天后结束

39%

April 30

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$392k 交易量
$86k 流动性
23
29 天后结束

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

A
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · Politics

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

$8k 交易量
$8k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

36%

Yes

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k 交易量
$136k 流动性
4 个月后结束

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

Politics·Iran

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$379k 交易量
$13k 流动性
69

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

D
Debt ceiling abolished before Trump inauguration?

Politics·us government

Debt ceiling abolished before Trump inauguration?

$345k 交易量
$0 流动性
10
已结束

No

D
Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?

$492k 交易量
$0 流动性
8
已结束

No

W
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?

Politics·Gov Shutdown

Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?

$178k 交易量
$0 流动性
13
已结束

No

W
Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th?

All

Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th?

$2k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W

All

Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th?

$10k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
U
US debt ceiling hike by...?

All

US debt ceiling hike by...?

$497k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

July 1

D
Debt ceiling raised or suspended before July?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Debt ceiling raised or suspended before July?

$11k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

D
Debt ceiling raised or suspended before June?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Debt ceiling raised or suspended before June?

$95k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

W
Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4?

All

Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4?

$3k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Yes

W
What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

Politics·Trump vs Elon

What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

$321k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束

End Tax on Tips

P
Peak US National Debt this year?

Politics·Trump vs Elon

Peak US National Debt this year?

$131k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

$37 trillion