Debt Ceiling 预测与赔率· 111 个市场

US defaults on debt by 2027?

Politics · Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

$15k 交易量
$24k 流动性
9 个月后结束

5%

Yes

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$713k 交易量
$102k 流动性
3 个月后结束

83%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$28k 交易量
$15k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束

41%

April 30

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$391k 交易量
$91k 流动性
17
29 天后结束

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · Politics

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

$8k 交易量
$10k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

36%

Yes

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$374k 交易量
$17k 流动性
62

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

Debt ceiling abolished before Trump inauguration?

Debt ceiling abolished before Trump inauguration?

$345k 交易量
$0 流动性
10
已结束

No

Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?

Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?

$492k 交易量
$0 流动性
8
已结束

No

Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?

Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?

$178k 交易量
$0 流动性
13
已结束

No

Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th?

All

Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th?

$2k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

All

Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th?

$10k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
US debt ceiling hike by...?

All

US debt ceiling hike by...?

$497k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

July 1

Debt ceiling raised or suspended before July?

Debt ceiling raised or suspended before July?

$11k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

Debt ceiling raised or suspended before June?

Debt ceiling raised or suspended before June?

$95k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4?

All

Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4?

$3k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Yes

What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

$321k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束

End Tax on Tips

Peak US National Debt this year?

Peak US National Debt this year?

$131k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

$37 trillion

US defaults on debt in 2025?

US defaults on debt in 2025?

$138k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?

Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?

$656k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Yes

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

$283k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
已结束

<125