Department Of War 预测与赔率· 109 个市场

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$44k 交易量
$12k 流动性
3
大约 1 个月后结束

19%

Yes

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

$80k 交易量
$61k 流动性
1
大约 10 小时后结束

14%

Catherine Cortez Masto

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束

43%

Yes

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$139k 交易量
$17k 流动性
9 个月后结束

18%

Yes

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

$102k 交易量
$11k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

5%

Yes

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

$6k 交易量
$6k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

8%

Yes

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

$1.5m 交易量
$17k 流动性
78
3 个月后结束

14%

June 30

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

$582k 交易量
$12k 流动性
37
3 个月后结束

14%

Yes

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

$4.9m 交易量
$1.3m 流动性
🔥$129k 今日
9 个月后结束

10%

December 31

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

$556k 交易量
$14k 流动性
大约 10 小时后结束

24%

April 30

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$28k 交易量
$17k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束

41%

April 30

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

$1.2m 交易量
$40k 流动性
37
3 个月后结束

2%

Yes

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?

$15k 交易量
$5k 流动性
已结束

4%

Yes

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

$21k 交易量
$9k 流动性
大约 10 小时后结束

30%

Yes

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

$282k 交易量
$13k 流动性
大约 10 小时后结束

0%

Yes

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

$6k 交易量
$10k 流动性
3 个月后结束

27%

Yes

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?

$139k 交易量
$16k 流动性
大约 10 小时后结束

12%

April 30

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

$4k 交易量
$14k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

29%

April 30

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$8.6m 交易量
$455k 流动性
🔥$278k 今日
327
大约 10 小时后结束

79%

December 31

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$97k 交易量
$33k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

51%

US x Iran Ceasefire