Economic Forecasting 预测与赔率· 164 个市场

U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

$84k 交易量
$21k 流动性
15
3 个月后结束

40%

June 30

U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

$926k 交易量
$84k 流动性
52
10 个月后结束

36%

Yes

G
GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

$25k 交易量
$16k 流动性
8
10 个月后结束

61%

>2.5%

W
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

$948k 交易量
$57k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

6%

Yes

W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

$2.5m 交易量
$188k 流动性
9 个月后结束

59%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$328k 交易量
$16k 流动性
36
3 个月后结束

50%

Yes

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

$10k 交易量
$2k 流动性
11 个月后结束

85%

Up

U
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

$79k 交易量
$2k 流动性
15 天后结束

51%

April 15

2
2026 World GDP Growth

2026 World GDP Growth

$14k 交易量
$16k 流动性
10 个月后结束

50%

≤2.9%

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

$6k 交易量
$1k 流动性
已结束

5%

Up

U
US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

$1k 交易量
$8k 流动性
11 个月后结束

34%

800–900B

S
South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026?

South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026?

$6k 交易量
$4k 流动性
23 天后结束

37%

1.5–1.9%

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$0 交易量
$128 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

82%

Up

C
Canada Annual Inflation 2026

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

$16k 交易量
$11k 流动性
1
10 个月后结束

34%

3.0-3.4%

N
Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

$16k 交易量
$8k 流动性
11
10 个月后结束

15%

Yes

F
Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$39.9m 交易量
$4.0m 流动性
🔥$2.3m 今日
26
29 天后结束

98%

No change

F
Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$3.1m 交易量
$269k 流动性
🔥$842k 今日
1
4 个月后结束

77%

No change

F
Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.8m 交易量
$804k 流动性
🔥$267k 今日
14
3 个月后结束

88%

No change

H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$14.8m 交易量
$1.3m 流动性
🔥$257k 今日
59
9 个月后结束

37%

0 (0 bps)

W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$5.9m 交易量
$300k 流动性
🔥$113k 今日
9
8 个月后结束

28%

3.75%