Economic Forecasting Predictions & Odds· 173 markets

US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$81k Vol.
$27k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$27k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
39%
June 30

US recession by end of 2026?
$918k Vol.
$71k Liq.
49
Ends in 10 months
$918k Vol.$71k Liq.49Ends in 10 months
37%
Yes

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$230k Liq.
🔥$143k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$143k today$230k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$933k Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$933k Vol.$89k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$328k Vol.
$20k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$328k Vol.$20k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$78k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 15 days
51%
April 15

77%
Up

Negative GDP growth in 2026?
$16k Vol.
$8k Liq.
11
Ends in 10 months
$16k Vol.$8k Liq.11Ends in 10 months
15%
Yes

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
9%
Up

Canada Annual Inflation 2026
$16k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 months
$16k Vol.$12k Liq.1Ends in 10 months
29%
3.5-3.9%

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$139 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$139 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up

34%
800–900B

37%
1.5–1.9%

Fed decision in April?
$39.0m Vol.
$3.4m Liq.
🔥$2.1m today
21
Ends in 29 days
$39.0m Vol.🔥$2.1m today$3.4m Liq.21Ends in 29 days
97%
No change

Fed Decision in July?
$2.7m Vol.
$284k Liq.
🔥$447k today
Ends in 4 months
$2.7m Vol.🔥$447k today$284k Liq.Ends in 4 months
78%
No change

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$275k today
58
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$275k today$1.2m Liq.58Ends in 9 months
36%
0 (0 bps)

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$5.9m Vol.
$334k Liq.
🔥$242k today
8
Ends in 8 months
$5.9m Vol.🔥$242k today$334k Liq.8Ends in 8 months
38%
3.75%

Fed Decision in June?
$4.7m Vol.
$917k Liq.
🔥$231k today
11
Ends in 3 months
$4.7m Vol.🔥$231k today$917k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
88%
No change

