Economic Forecasting Predictions & Odds· 173 markets

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

$81k Vol.
$27k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months

39%

June 30

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

$918k Vol.
$71k Liq.
49
Ends in 10 months

37%

Yes

GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

$21k Vol.
$15k Liq.
6
Ends in 10 months

61%

>2.5%

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

$2.5m Vol.
$230k Liq.
🔥$143k today
Ends in 9 months

57%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

$933k Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

7%

Yes

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$328k Vol.
$20k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months

50%

Yes

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

51%

April 15

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

77%

Up

2026 World GDP Growth

2026 World GDP Growth

$14k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 10 months

43%

≤2.9%

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

$16k Vol.
$8k Liq.
11
Ends in 10 months

15%

Yes

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours

9%

Up

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

$16k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 months

29%

3.5-3.9%

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$0 Vol.
$139 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

82%

Up

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

$980 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

34%

800–900B

South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026?

South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026?

$6k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 23 days

37%

1.5–1.9%

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$39.0m Vol.
$3.4m Liq.
🔥$2.1m today
21
Ends in 29 days

97%

No change

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$2.7m Vol.
$284k Liq.
🔥$447k today
Ends in 4 months

78%

No change

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$14.7m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$275k today
58
Ends in 9 months

36%

0 (0 bps)

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$5.9m Vol.
$334k Liq.
🔥$242k today
8
Ends in 8 months

38%

3.75%

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.7m Vol.
$917k Liq.
🔥$231k today
11
Ends in 3 months

88%

No change