Economic Forecasting Predictions & Odds· 173 markets

US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$81k Vol.
$21k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$21k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
39%
June 30

US recession by end of 2026?
$916k Vol.
$93k Liq.
48
Ends in 10 months
$916k Vol.$93k Liq.48Ends in 10 months
37%
Yes

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$353k Liq.
🔥$254k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$254k today$353k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$933k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$933k Vol.$77k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$327k Vol.
$17k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$327k Vol.$17k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
49%
Yes

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$78k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 15 days
51%
April 15

80%
Up

15%
Yes

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
10%
Up

Canada Annual Inflation 2026
$16k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 months
$16k Vol.$12k Liq.1Ends in 10 months
30%
3.5-3.9%

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$139 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$139 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up

34%
800–900B

37%
1.5–1.9%

Fed decision in April?
$38.5m Vol.
$3.4m Liq.
🔥$1.9m today
18
Ends in 29 days
$38.5m Vol.🔥$1.9m today$3.4m Liq.18Ends in 29 days
97%
No change

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$5.9m Vol.
$373k Liq.
🔥$372k today
8
Ends in 8 months
$5.9m Vol.🔥$372k today$373k Liq.8Ends in 8 months
34%
3.75%

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$252k Liq.
🔥$288k today
18
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.🔥$288k today$252k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
64%
↓ 3.25%

Fed Decision in July?
$2.5m Vol.
$252k Liq.
🔥$283k today
Ends in 4 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$283k today$252k Liq.Ends in 4 months
78%
No change

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$279k today
58
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$279k today$1.2m Liq.58Ends in 9 months
37%
0 (0 bps)

