Employment Predictions & Odds· 117 markets
77%
Up
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
9%
Up
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$138 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$138 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
32%
4.4%
26%
50k – 100k
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
$202k Vol.
$13k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$202k Vol.$13k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$336k Vol.
$20k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$20k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
62%
5.0%
22%
Yes
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?
$29k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$29k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
35%
1.0-2.0%
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 11 months
$5k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 11 months
12%
Yes
February Unemployment Rate - Japan
$35k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$35k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
58%
2.7%
45%
Yes
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$312k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in about 9 hours
$312k Vol.$11k Liq.27Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in about 9 hours
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes
89%
April 30
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
What price will Ethena hit in March?
$96k Vol.
$176k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$96k Vol.$176k Liq.Ends in 1 day
13%
↓ 0.08