Nonfarm Payroll Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
28%
50k – 100k
30%
4.5%
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$335k Vol.
$21k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$335k Vol.$21k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
62%
5.0%
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$148 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$148 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
Will MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) beat quarterly earnings?
$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$12k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 2 days
83%
Yes
1%
Yes
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
10%
Up
28%
Yes
US recession by end of 2026?
$916k Vol.
$91k Liq.
48
Ends in 10 months
$916k Vol.$91k Liq.48Ends in 10 months
37%
Yes
Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 1 day
76%
Yes
78%
Up
Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?
$17k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$17k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 2 days
95%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
30%
Yes
22%
Yes
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?
$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$6k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 2 days
66%
Yes
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$58 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$58 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
50%
<15 minutes
Will Dave and Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?
$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$7k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 1 day
21%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
