Nonfarm Payroll Predictions & Odds· 128 markets

27%
50k – 100k

33%
4.4%

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$336k Vol.
$21k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$21k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
62%
5.0%

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$142 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$142 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up

Will MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) beat quarterly earnings?
$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$12k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 2 days
83%
Yes

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
10%
Up

>125k

50k–75k

250-300k

50k–75k

<50k

100-150k

150-200k

