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Unemployment Predictions & Odds· 204 markets

AllPoliticsBusinessSouth KoreaCanadaAIIndiaEmploymentUkLayoffsMexicoJobsUnited KingdomTechUnemploymentBrazilBritainEconomyMentionsPowellFOMCBlsMacro UnemploymentJapanWorldBig TechMacro IndicatorsJobs ReportNFPNonfarm PayrollUnemployment InsuranceDOL
March Unemployment Rate

Economy·NFP

March Unemployment Rate

$37k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

30%

4.5%

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

Economy·NFP

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$335k Vol.
$21k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months

62%

5.0%

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

Economy·unemployment

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

$35k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours

44%

2.7%

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Economy·Canada

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 11 months

12%

Yes

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech·Macro Indicators

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$0 Vol.
$148 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

82%

Up

February Unemployment Rate - Mexico

Economy·unemployment

February Unemployment Rate - Mexico

$51k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

2.6%

Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in February?

Economy·unemployment

Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in February?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down

Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - U.K.

Economy·unemployment

Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - U.K.

$436 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

5.2%

South Korean Unemployment Up/Down in February?

Economy·South Korea

South Korean Unemployment Up/Down in February?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down

Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - Brazil

World·unemployment

Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - Brazil

$21 Vol.
$0 Liq.

≥5.4%

Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in January?

Economy·jobs

Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in January?

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Up

January Unemployment Rate - Mexico

Economy·Macro Indicators

January Unemployment Rate - Mexico

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

≥2.7%

February Unemployment Rate - Canada

Economy·Canada

February Unemployment Rate - Canada

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

6.7%

January 2026 Unemployment Rate - Japan

Economy·unemployment

January 2026 Unemployment Rate - Japan

$431k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

≥2.7%

December 2025 Unemployment Rate - Japan

Economy·unemployment

December 2025 Unemployment Rate - Japan

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

2.4%

December Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Unemployment

December Unemployment Rate

$54k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended

≤4.1%

Powell says "unemployment" 5+ times in FOMC statement?

Economy·powell

Powell says "unemployment" 5+ times in FOMC statement?

$38k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Unemployment rate over 4.1% in October?

Economy·unemployment

Unemployment rate over 4.1% in October?

$517k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

No

How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 28?

Economy·unemployment

How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 28?

$195 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

210k-220k

How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 21?

Economy·DOL

How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 21?

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

210k-220k