Employment Predictions & Odds· 212 markets
78%
Up
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
10%
Up
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$149 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$149 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
29%
4.5%
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$335k Vol.
$22k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$335k Vol.$22k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
63%
5.0%
28%
50k – 100k
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
$202k Vol.
$18k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$202k Vol.$18k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
22%
Yes
Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?
$29k Vol.
$17k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$29k Vol.$17k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
32%
7.0%+
5.2%
OpenAI · resignations
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week?
$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
$31k Vol.$0 Liq.2Ended
No
≤4.1%