February Job Report Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$344k Vol.
$24k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months

60%

5.0%

W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

$6k Vol.
$907 Liq.
2
Ends in 11 months

33%

Yes

M
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

$872k Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

43%

3.3%

M
March Inflation US - Annual

March Inflation US - Annual

$3.0m Vol.
$133k Liq.
🔥$56k today
Ends in 8 days

99%

≥2.8%

M
March Inflation US - Monthly

March Inflation US - Monthly

$523k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

92%

≥0.8%

H
How many Jobs added in February?

How many Jobs added in February?

$83k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

250k-300k

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down

W
Will DOGE bring back Marko Elez in February?

Will DOGE bring back Marko Elez in February?

$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

F
February Unemployment Rate - Japan

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

$44k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

2.6%

F
February Unemployment Rate - Canada

February Unemployment Rate - Canada

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

6.7%

S
South Korean Unemployment Up/Down in February?

Down

J
January Unemployment Rate - Mexico

January Unemployment Rate - Mexico

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

≥2.7%

J
January Unemployment Rate - Canada

January Unemployment Rate - Canada

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

≤6.5%

N
Nothing Ever Happens: February

Nothing Ever Happens: February

$90k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Something

H
How many jobs added in November?

How many jobs added in November?

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

50k–75k

D
December Unemployment Rate

December Unemployment Rate

$74k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

≤4.4%

B
Bank of England decision in February?

Bank of England decision in February?

$313k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No change

N
Nothing Ever Happens: February

Nothing Ever Happens: February

$86k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Something

J
January Inflation US - Annual (Lower Brackets)

2.4%

N
November Unemployment Rate

November Unemployment Rate

$182k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

≥4.6%