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Employment Rate Predictions & Odds· 138 markets

AllPoliticsUSBusinessFinanceTrumpEconomy1FedCanadaGDPAIEmploymentUS EconomyUkLayoffsLabor MarketJobsFebruary Job ReportUS EmploymentEmployment RateUnited KingdomTechUnemploymentFed RatesBritainEconomyEuropeFOMCBlsTrump PresidencyParlaysJapanGov ShutdownJerome PowellEconomic PolicyWorldBig TechMacro IndicatorsJobs ReportNFPNonfarm PayrollEuro Area
March Unemployment Rate

Economy·NFP

March Unemployment Rate

$37k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

30%

4.5%

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

Economy·NFP

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$335k Vol.
$21k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months

62%

5.0%

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Economy·GDP

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

$1k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 10 months

32%

7.0%+

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Economy·Canada

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 11 months

12%

Yes

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

Economy·unemployment

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

$35k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours

44%

2.7%

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech·Macro Indicators

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$0 Vol.
$151 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

82%

Up

How many jobs added in March?

Economy·nonfarm payroll

How many jobs added in March?

$12k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

28%

50k – 100k

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

Tech·AI

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours

10%

Up

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech·Big Tech

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

$9k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

78%

Up

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$752 Vol.
$130k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

73%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$713k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

83%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$390k Vol.
$104k Liq.
17
Ends in 30 days

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

How many Jobs added in February?

Finance·us

How many Jobs added in February?

$83k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

250k-300k

January 2026 Unemployment Rate - Japan

Economy·unemployment

January 2026 Unemployment Rate - Japan

$431k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

≥2.7%

December 2025 Unemployment Rate - Japan

Economy·unemployment

December 2025 Unemployment Rate - Japan

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

2.4%

Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?

Trump · bls

Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?

$98k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No

Next BLS jobs report by Oct 3, 2025, 8:30 AM ET?

bls · Trump

Next BLS jobs report by Oct 3, 2025, 8:30 AM ET?

$73k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended

No

Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?

Politics·Trump

Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?

$60k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - U.K.

Economy·unemployment

Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - U.K.

$436 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

5.2%

Oct-Dec Unemployment Rate - U.K.

Economy·Macro Indicators

Oct-Dec Unemployment Rate - U.K.

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

5.2%