Employment Rate Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
30%
4.4%
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$336k Vol.
$18k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$18k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
62%
5.0%
35%
1.0-2.0%
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$147 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$147 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
9%
Up
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 11 months
80%
Up
83%
Pause–Pause–Pause
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$312k Vol.
$12k Liq.
27
Ends in about 7 hours
$312k Vol.$12k Liq.27Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?
$15k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$15k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
53%
1.5%–1.8%
Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$257 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$257 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
39%
0.0–0.2%
US recession by end of 2026?
$919k Vol.
$71k Liq.
50
Ends in 10 months
$919k Vol.$71k Liq.50Ends in 10 months
37%
Yes
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$154k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
$154k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 23 hours
69%
160-179
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$46k Liq.
28
Ends in about 7 hours
$1.2m Vol.$46k Liq.28Ends in about 7 hours
98%
5–15%
25%
<-1.0%
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
39%
160-179
72%
4.0–5.0%
33%
<0.75%
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in about 7 hours
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes