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Imf Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

AllPoliticsAwardsCryptoScienceIranFinanceTrumpMiddle EastFedStrait Of HormuzChinaOilGDPAIHouthisShippingCultureStocksRed SeaCrypto PricesTechPump.FunFed RatesGeopoliticsEconomyFOMCMacro GeopoliticsParlaysJerome PowellEconomic PolicyWorldBig TechMacro IndicatorsHouthiHit PriceMonthlyYearlyEquitiesIndiciesDJIShipIMFGlobal GDPRegional SpilloverU.S. X IranHormozCloseShipsTransitTankerTrafficHormuzFinance UpdownEWYCape Of Good Hope
2026 World GDP Growth

Economy·Global GDP

2026 World GDP Growth

$14k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 10 months

43%

≤2.9%

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Geopolitics·traffic

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

$1.6m Vol.
$57k Liq.
🔥$284k today
Ends in about 9 hours

97%

0-10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Geopolitics·Oil

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

$326k Vol.
$57k Liq.
🔥$228k today
Ends in 3 days

80%

0-10

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Economy·ships

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.5m Vol.
$116k Liq.
🔥$72k today
102
Ends in about 1 month

20%

Yes

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Geopolitics·houthi

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

$333k Vol.
$91k Liq.
🔥$62k today
33
Ends in about 1 month

37%

April 30

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

Geopolitics·Iran

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

$439k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ended

54%

15-19

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Economy·Trump

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$604k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours

7%

20+

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

Geopolitics·ship

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

$24k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ended

48%

25-29

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Geopolitics·traffic

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$11k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

35%

0-10

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Economy·U.S. x Iran

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$7k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

63%

20+

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

Economy·Middle East

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

$50k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in about 9 hours

1%

Yes

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

Geopolitics·Middle East

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

$129k Vol.
$27k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

9%

Yes

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$713k Vol.
$112k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

83%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$390k Vol.
$97k Liq.
17
Ends in 29 days

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Culture·Awards

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$363k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

84%

Hong Wang

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$956 Vol.
$129k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

73%

Pause–Pause–Pause

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

Tech·AI

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

61%

Yes

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

Crypto·Yearly

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

$74k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

70%

↓ 0.0014

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?

Finance·Monthly

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?

$889 Vol.
$747 Liq.
Ends in 1 day

46%

↓ 43200

What will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in April 2026?

Finance·Monthly

What will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in April 2026?

$0 Vol.
$28 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

50%

↑ $144