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AllPoliticsIranRecordsTrumpSocial MediaTwitterElectionsMrBeastMiddle EastFedPresidential ElectionStrait Of HormuzChinaOilElectionWorld AffairsGDPElections 2024HouthisShippingSuez CanalRed SeaGiveawayGiveawaysInternet CultureGlobal ElectionsAmadou BaSenegalIdrissa SeckKhalifa SallBassirou Diomaye FayeAnta Babacar NgomMahammed DionneAly Ngouille NdiayeFed RatesGeopoliticsEconomyFOMCTrump PresidencyMacro GeopoliticsParlaysJerome PowellForeign PolicyEconomic PolicyWorldMacro IndicatorsHouthiShipIMFGlobal GDPRegional SpilloverU.S. X IranHormozCloseShipsTransitTankerTrafficHormuzCape Of Good Hope
2026 World GDP Growth

Economy·Global GDP

2026 World GDP Growth

$14k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 10 months

40%

≤2.9%

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Geopolitics·traffic

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

$1.6m Vol.
$65k Liq.
🔥$330k today
Ends in about 13 hours

97%

0-10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Geopolitics·Oil

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

$324k Vol.
$61k Liq.
🔥$226k today
Ends in 4 days

80%

0-10

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Geopolitics·houthi

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

$329k Vol.
$111k Liq.
🔥$60k today
32
Ends in about 1 month

37%

April 30

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Economy·ships

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.5m Vol.
$122k Liq.
🔥$56k today
102
Ends in about 1 month

20%

Yes

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

Geopolitics·Iran

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

$424k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ended

55%

20-24

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Economy·Trump

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$603k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

4%

20+

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

Geopolitics·ship

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

$24k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended

40%

25-29

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Geopolitics·traffic

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$11k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

38%

0-10

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Economy·U.S. x Iran

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$6k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

67%

20+

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

Economy·Middle East

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

$50k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in about 13 hours

1%

Yes

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

Geopolitics·Middle East

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

$129k Vol.
$27k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

9%

Yes

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$713k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

83%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$390k Vol.
$101k Liq.
17
Ends in 30 days

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 10-16)

Geopolitics·Iran

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 10-16)

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

35-39

Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?

Geopolitics·suez canal

Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?

$225k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

No

Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?

World·Foreign Policy

Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?

$52k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

How many reposts will MrBeast's $250k giveaway get?

MrBeast · social media

How many reposts will MrBeast's $250k giveaway get?

$295k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended

3.9m+ (Most reposts of all time)

Iceland Presidential Election Winner

Politics·Global Elections

Iceland Presidential Election Winner

$56k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

Halla Tómasdóttir

Senegal Presidential Election Winner

Elections·aly ngouille ndiaye

Senegal Presidential Election Winner

$77k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Bassirou Diomaye Faye