Engagement 预测与赔率· 381 个市场

G
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

$462k 交易量
$14k 流动性
11
3 个月后结束

6%

Yes

U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$66.3m 交易量
$1.8m 流动性
🔥$3.8m 今日
1,284

74%

December 31

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$29.5m 交易量
$389k 流动性
🔥$557k 今日
20,364
已结束

0%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

$4.0m 交易量
$503k 流动性
🔥$295k 今日
1
3 个月后结束

10%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

$12.4m 交易量
$490k 流动性
🔥$74k 今日
5,427
9 个月后结束

30%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

$1.2m 交易量
$298k 流动性
🔥$58k 今日
1
30 天后结束

3%

Yes

U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$68k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束

36%

Yes

N
NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

$1.4m 交易量
$133k 流动性
32
9 个月后结束

20%

December 31

I
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Middle East · Iran Regime

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

$105k 交易量
$16k 流动性
28
30 天后结束

16%

April 30

U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

$67k 交易量
$19k 流动性
7
3 个月后结束

50%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

$50k 交易量
$18k 流动性
5

14%

Yes

R
Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31?

Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31?

$297k 交易量
$87k 流动性
1
已结束

0%

↓ 10%

C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

$1.5m 交易量
$81k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

15%

Yes

I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

$389k 交易量
$46k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束

39%

June 30

C
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

$515k 交易量
$74k 流动性
32
9 个月后结束

16%

Yes

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$97k 交易量
$45k 流动性
4
7 个月后结束

49%

US x Iran Ceasefire

C
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

$196k 交易量
$73k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

23%

Yes

U
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

$53k 交易量
$31k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

8%

Yes

I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$29k 交易量
$9k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

38%

Leadership Change

U
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

$26k 交易量
$32k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

5%

Yes