Fed Chair 预测与赔率· 154 个市场

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$97k 交易量
$34k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

50%

US x Iran Ceasefire

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

$15.7m 交易量
$1.7m 流动性
🔥$315k 今日
72
7 个月后结束

95%

Kevin Warsh

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

$435k 交易量
$23k 流动性
11
大约 2 个月后结束

52%

May 15

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

$1.8m 交易量
$135k 流动性
36
大约 1 个月后结束

2%

May 14

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

$72k 交易量
$21k 流动性
3 个月后结束

94%

Thom Tillis

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

$65k 交易量
$30k 流动性
1
大约 2 个月后结束

3%

Yes

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by March 31?

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

$0 交易量
$3k 流动性
大约 9 小时后结束

53%

>5%

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

$211 交易量
$15k 流动性
9 个月后结束

34%

54

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$65k 交易量
$40k 流动性
9 个月后结束

80%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

$145k 交易量
$12k 流动性
2
大约 9 小时后结束

100%

Yes

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

$10k 交易量
$16k 流动性
29 天后结束

49%

2

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

$117k 交易量
$14k 流动性
8
9 个月后结束

71%

December 31

Trump drops Powell investigation by…?

Trump · Fed Rates

Trump drops Powell investigation by…?

$4k 交易量
$4k 流动性
3 个月后结束

62%

June 30

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?

$48k 交易量
$16k 流动性
大约 9 小时后结束

0%

Yes

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$713k 交易量
$103k 流动性
3 个月后结束

83%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$391k 交易量
$92k 流动性
17
29 天后结束

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$956 交易量
$130k 流动性
4 个月后结束

73%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$2.6m 交易量
$241k 流动性
🔥$405k 今日
4 个月后结束

78%

No change

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$38.9m 交易量
$3.2m 流动性
🔥$2.0m 今日
18
29 天后结束

97%

No change

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.6m 交易量
$754k 流动性
🔥$228k 今日
11
3 个月后结束

88%

No change