Eruption 预测与赔率· 103 个市场

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$38k 交易量
$18k 流动性
8
12 个月后结束

12%

Yes

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$441k 交易量
$28k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

27%

Yes

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$668k 交易量
$15k 流动性
10
12 个月后结束

43%

1

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m 交易量
$10k 流动性
108
3 个月后结束

46%

Yes

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$433k 交易量
$4k 流动性
28

37%

Yes

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$139k 交易量
$12k 流动性
9 个月后结束

19%

Yes

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

$6k 交易量
$3k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

8%

Yes

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束

43%

Yes

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$189k 交易量
$13k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

30%

Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$30k 交易量
$14k 流动性
4
30 天后结束

38%

April 30

Megaquake by June 30?

Weather · earthquake

Megaquake by June 30?

$23k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3 个月后结束

21%

Yes

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

$102k 交易量
$12k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

5%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$2k 流动性
10 天后结束

6%

Yes

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$379k 交易量
$15k 流动性
68

24%

Isfahan nuclear facility

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$2k 交易量
$4k 流动性
8 天后结束

37%

<5

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$19k 交易量
$6k 流动性
4 天后结束

88%

<20

Megaquake by March 31?

earthquake · Natural Disaster

Megaquake by March 31?

$131k 交易量
$4k 流动性
已结束

1%

Yes

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k 交易量
$7k 流动性
17 天后结束

63%

April 17

Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$27k 交易量
$7k 流动性
大约 14 小时后结束

96%

<20

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.0m 交易量
$448k 流动性
257
3 个月后结束

44%

>$600M