Fed 预测与赔率· 744 个市场

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$39.0m 交易量
$3.3m 流动性
🔥$2.0m 今日
21
29 天后结束

97%

No change

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$2.7m 交易量
$261k 流动性
🔥$471k 今日
4 个月后结束

78%

No change

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$14.7m 交易量
$1.2m 流动性
🔥$277k 今日
58
9 个月后结束

35%

0 (0 bps)

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.7m 交易量
$897k 流动性
🔥$214k 今日
13
3 个月后结束

88%

No change

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

$701k 交易量
$45k 流动性
🔥$51k 今日
27
8 个月后结束

22%

Yes

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k 交易量
$116k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

83%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$391k 交易量
$99k 流动性
19
29 天后结束

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k 交易量
$135k 流动性
4 个月后结束

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

$10k 交易量
$18k 流动性
29 天后结束

45%

2

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by March 31?

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

$0 交易量
$3k 流动性
大约 7 小时后结束

53%

>5%

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

$15.7m 交易量
$1.9m 流动性
🔥$260k 今日
69
7 个月后结束

95%

Kevin Warsh

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$5.9m 交易量
$337k 流动性
🔥$221k 今日
8
8 个月后结束

38%

3.75%

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m 交易量
$207k 流动性
🔥$176k 今日
17
9 个月后结束

64%

↓ 3.25%

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

$435k 交易量
$29k 流动性
11
大约 2 个月后结束

53%

May 15

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.2m 交易量
$180k 流动性
16
3 个月后结束

64%

December Meeting

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$74k 交易量
$20k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

19%

Yes

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

$1.8m 交易量
$166k 流动性
37
大约 1 个月后结束

2%

May 14

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$97k 交易量
$45k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

50%

US x Iran Ceasefire

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

$117k 交易量
$15k 流动性
8
9 个月后结束

70%

December 31

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

$65k 交易量
$32k 流动性
1
大约 2 个月后结束

3%

Yes